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Russia Won’t Abandon Grand LNG Plans

Russia Shrugs Off Arctic-2 LNG Sanctions As Putin Eyes 2024 On The Throne

Russian Novatek has dismissed sanctions against its Arctic LNG 2 project imposed by Washington last week as a desperate attempt to keep international gas prices high, Interfax reported on Monday. 

Novatek, founded by Leonid Mikhelson, is Russia's largest private gas group, and its founder, and its partnership with French TotalEnergies (NYSE:TTE) has been under scrutiny since Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 

Interfax quoted Mikhelson as describing U.S. sanctions as "high praise for our professionalism" and designed to benefit North American LNG players looking to drive prices higher. The $25-billion Arctic LNG-2 project is Russia's second major LNG project, and the new sanctions prohibit all related transactions without a special license from OFAC until 31 January 2024. The full scope of the sanctions remains unclear, sparking a statement from TotalEnergies that it is currently assessing the impact. Novatek has a 60% interest in the project, with TotalEnergies and Chinese companies CNPC and CNOOC each holding 10%, along with 10% for a separate consortium of Japan's Mitsui and JOGMEC. TotalEnergies also owns an additional 21.% in the project through its shareholding Novatek. Long-term supply contracts are now in question, as is future financing of the project. 

"The consequences of the designation of Arctic LNG 2 as an SDN entity by the US authorities on TotalEnergies' contractual commitments to Arctic LNG 2 are currently being assessed," a representative for TotalEnergies was quoted as saying by Reuters.TotalEnergies has suffered $14.8 billion in asset writedowns related to Russia operations in 2022, in addition to a $ 4.1 billion Q1 2022 impairment for the Arctic LNG-2 project. New sanctions on Novatek come amid confirmation on Monday that Putin will officially run for president in 2024 elections, gunning for his fifth term, according to a Reuters report citing anonymous sources. 

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com

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Comments

  • Mamdouh Salameh - 7th Nov 2023 at 8:29am:
    US sanctions have so far failed miserably everywhere from Iran to Venezuela and Russia and from China to the rest of the world. So threatening to impose them on the highly innovative and successful Russian LNG company Novatek won’t fare better.

    What is behind the threat of US sanction, however, is a crude attempt to push LNG prices up and to delay Novatek’s LNG expansion plans which could enable it by the mid-2035 to overtake Qatar, Australia and the United States to become the world’s top LNG producer and exporter.

    Moreover, the bulk of Novatek’s current and future LNG production is already contracted for by China. They will probably be cheaper than US LNG since they will be shipped to China and the EU via the shorter Northern Sea Route (NSR) from the Russian Arctic.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Global Energy Expert
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